Immune Aging Series ← The series

The case

Why immune aging,
why now

Updated October 2026 · Cambridge, Massachusetts

For a decade, the field worked toward a clean test of whether lowering inflammation prevents age-related disease. In July 2026 one of the most closely watched of those tests, the ZEUS trial, came back negative. This series starts from what that result does and does not tell us.

§ 01

What ZEUS showed

In 2017, CANTOS showed that blocking interleukin-1β reduced recurrent cardiovascular events in patients with a prior heart attack and elevated hsCRP, without lowering cholesterol.1 It was the first randomized evidence that an inflammatory pathway contributes causally to a common age-related disease. Two colchicine trials, COLCOT and LoDoCo2, later pointed the same way.2

The natural next step was to target interleukin-6, which sits downstream of IL-1β and drives production of CRP in the liver,3 using a long-acting antibody in patients selected for inflammation.

That trial was ZEUS. It enrolled 6,376 patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L, the same inflammation threshold used in CANTOS.1,4 Ziltivekimab lowered free IL-6 and hsCRP as expected.4

On July 31, 2026, Novo Nordisk reported the primary result: hazard ratio 0.99, 95% confidence interval 0.88–1.11.4 Serious infections were more common on the drug, and all-cause mortality did not differ. Full results will be presented at the American Heart Association meeting on November 7, 2026.4

The biomarker moved as intended, but patients did not benefit. Explaining that gap is now the central problem for anti-inflammatory therapy in aging.

§ 02

What ZEUS does and does not rule out

ZEUS does not on its own end the inflammation hypothesis, for two reasons that will be central to the first night.

The first is the population. ZEUS participants had a mean age of 69.5 years and a mean eGFR of 44.5, and 41% already had heart failure.4 In chronic kidney disease, heart failure, arrhythmia, sudden cardiac death and vascular calcification are major contributors to cardiovascular risk,5 and anti-inflammatory therapy may not prevent these events. A null result in this group does not show that the underlying biology is wrong.

The second is where in the pathway to intervene. CANTOS blocked IL-1β, one of the two cytokines released by the NLRP3 inflammasome.6 ZEUS blocked IL-6 further downstream, which lowers hsCRP most directly but leaves IL-1β and IL-18 signaling in place.3 Oral NLRP3 inhibitors, now in Phase 2 trials, act further upstream and block the release of both.6,7 Human genetic studies support a causal role for IL-6 signaling in coronary disease,8 so whether ZEUS reflects the target, the drug or the population is unresolved.

Not everyone has stepped back from IL-6. In September 2025 Novartis agreed to acquire Tourmaline Bio and its long-acting anti-IL-6 antibody, pacibekitug, for about $1.4B.9 At ESC in August 2026, a month after ZEUS, six-month TRANQUILITY data showed sustained hsCRP reductions.9 Endpoints and STAT reported that Novartis plans a Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial; its design and timing have not been made public.10

Whether a different antibody, dosing schedule or patient population would succeed where ZEUS did not is one of the questions for the first night.

TrialInterventionPopulationResultHR (95% CI)
CANTOS1Canakinumab, anti–IL-1βPost-MI, hsCRP ≥2Positive0.85 · 0.74–0.98
LoDoCo22Colchicine 0.5 mgChronic coronary diseasePositive0.69 · 0.57–0.83
CIRT2Low-dose methotrexateASCVD + metabolic diseaseNull0.96 · 0.79–1.16
ZEUS4Ziltivekimab, anti–IL-6ASCVD + CKD + hsCRP ≥2Null0.99 · 0.88–1.11
HERMES11ZiltivekimabHFpEF / HFmrEFStopped early, Sep 2026Not reported
ARTEMIS11ZiltivekimabPost-acute MIReports H1 2027Pending
TECTONIC12Canakinumab, anti–IL-1βTET2-CHIP carriers + CADPhase 2, recruitingPending

In September 2026 Novo Nordisk stopped HERMES, its heart failure trial, after the data monitoring committee judged a different outcome from ZEUS unlikely.11 ARTEMIS, which starts treatment soon after a heart attack, continues and is expected to report in the first half of 2027.11 TECTONIC, a small Phase 2 trial at Mass General, tests a narrower version of the hypothesis. In an exploratory CANTOS analysis, the benefit of IL-1β blockade was concentrated in carriers of TET2 clonal hematopoiesis (hazard ratio 0.38), and TECTONIC tests that idea prospectively using an imaging measure of coronary inflammation.12

§ 03

Immune reconstitution had a better year

While the anti-inflammatory programs struggled, work on rebuilding the aged immune system advanced. Suppressing inflammation and restoring immune function are different problems with different evidence, which is why they get separate nights.

In December 2025, Friedrich, Zhang and colleagues used mRNA-lipid nanoparticles to make the liver temporarily produce three factors that decline in the aging thymus: DLL1, FLT3L and IL-7. In aged mice this increased thymic output and naïve T cells and improved vaccine and antitumor responses. The effects faded within weeks of stopping treatment.13

Human data also suggest the adult thymus still matters. Adults who underwent thymectomy had higher five-year mortality than matched patients who had other cardiothoracic surgery (8.1% versus 2.8%), more cancer, lower thymic output and higher levels of inflammatory cytokines.14

Investment has followed. In July 2026 United Therapeutics acquired Thymmune, a Cambridge company developing iPSC-derived thymic cells with earlier support from ARPA-H, for $140M upfront and up to $160M in milestones.15 In August, Tolerance Bio licensed NeoImmuneTech's long-acting IL-7 for thymic indications, with up to $260M in milestone payments.16 In June, NewLimit raised $435M at a valuation of about $3.1B to develop epigenetic reprogramming therapies. The company has also reported, without peer review, transcription-factor combinations that restore killing activity in aged human T cells.17

In 2026, the field's clearest negative result and some of its most encouraging preclinical and commercial progress arrived within months of each other.

§ 04

Measurement is still the bottleneck

ZEUS also raises the bar for biomarkers. If hsCRP can fall sharply without clinical benefit, then markers with less validation than hsCRP, which includes most aging biomarkers, need more scrutiny before they are used as trial endpoints.

hsCRP is the most established inflammatory marker in cardiovascular prevention and trials,18 and clonal hematopoiesis is a strong candidate to join it.19 Epigenetic clocks such as GrimAge and DunedinPACE, immune-age scores such as iAge and IMM-AGE, proteomic organ and cell-type clocks, and immune resilience scores all predict outcomes in cohort studies,20 but they remain mostly research tools, and their clinical translation is limited.21

There is more to build on than a few years ago. In July 2026, Cipriano and colleagues proposed five criteria in Nature Medicine for judging immune-aging biomarkers as trial endpoints; measures of multidimensional immune function, inflammaging scores and functional assays met them best.22 The Allen Institute's Human Immune Health Atlas (2024) and a companion study of more than 16 million immune cells from donors aged 25 to 90 (2025) give the field reference data on how immune cells change with age.23 What is still missing is agreement on which measurement would change a regulator's decision.

§ 05

Why this format

Most meetings are built for presenting finished work. The questions above are still open, and they are easier to discuss frankly over dinner than from a podium.

Each night brings about 100 people together in Cambridge. It opens with a keynote on the night's question, followed by short lightning talks and a panel organized around five questions that recur every night: modality, stratification, endpoints, biomarkers and trial design. At dinner, each table takes one of those questions, and someone at each table takes notes.

Talks are recorded and published. Dinner is held under the Chatham House rule so that people can speak openly about unpublished and negative results.

Afterward we will publish a written playbook that summarizes the best current answer to each question, without attributing views to individuals.

The first two nights are on April 1 and April 15, 2027. A third night, on tools, biomarkers and trial design, will be added if funding allows. Partner support is what makes it possible.

References

  1. Ridker PM, et al. Antiinflammatory therapy with canakinumab for atherosclerotic disease (CANTOS). N Engl J Med 2017;377:1119–31. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1707914
  2. Tardif JC, et al. Efficacy and safety of low-dose colchicine after myocardial infarction (COLCOT). N Engl J Med 2019;381:2497–505. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1912388. Nidorf SM, et al. Colchicine in patients with chronic coronary disease (LoDoCo2). N Engl J Med 2020;383:1838–47. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2021372. Ridker PM, et al. Low-dose methotrexate for the prevention of atherosclerotic events (CIRT). N Engl J Med 2019;380:752–62. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1809798
  3. Ridker PM. From C-reactive protein to interleukin-6 to interleukin-1: moving upstream to identify novel targets for atheroprotection. Circ Res 2016;118:145–56. doi:10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.115.306656
  4. Novo Nordisk. Update on the ZEUS phase 3 trial in people with ASCVD, CKD and inflammation, July 31, 2026. Ridker PM, et al. Rationale, design, and baseline characteristics of the ziltivekimab cardiovascular outcomes trial. JAMA Cardiol 2026;11:89–97. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2025.4491. Full results: AHA Scientific Sessions 2026 late-breaking program, November 7, 2026.
  5. Jankowski J, et al. Cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease: pathophysiological insights and therapeutic options. Circulation 2021;143:1157–72. doi:10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.120.050686
  6. Mangan MSJ, et al. Targeting the NLRP3 inflammasome in inflammatory diseases. Nat Rev Drug Discov 2018;17:588–606. doi:10.1038/nrd.2018.97
  7. BioAge Labs. First participant dosed in QUELL-CV, a Phase 2 trial of the oral NLRP3 inhibitor BGE-102, June 16, 2026. Eli Lilly. Lilly to acquire Ventyx Biosciences, January 7, 2026.
  8. Interleukin-6 Receptor Mendelian Randomisation Analysis Consortium. The interleukin-6 receptor as a target for prevention of coronary heart disease. Lancet 2012;379:1214–24. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(12)60110-X. IL6R Genetics Consortium Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration. Interleukin-6 receptor pathways in coronary heart disease. Lancet 2012;379:1205–13. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61931-4. Zhang L, et al. IL6 genetic perturbation mimicking IL-6 inhibition is associated with lower cardiometabolic risk. Nat Cardiovasc Res 2025;4:1172–86. doi:10.1038/s44161-025-00700-7
  9. Novartis. Novartis to acquire Tourmaline Bio, September 9, 2025. European Society of Cardiology. Sustained reductions in inflammatory markers seen with novel antibody drug (TRANQUILITY), ESC Congress 2026.
  10. Endpoints News. #ESC26: Novartis pushes ahead with its IL-6 inhibitor despite Novo's failure, August 29, 2026. STAT. A Novartis drug cut inflammation. Can it improve heart outcomes?, August 29, 2026. HCPLive. Next steps for pacibekitug following positive TRANQUILITY results, September 5, 2026.
  11. Fierce Biotech. Novo's blockbuster hopes for CKD program dwindle after more phase 3 trials scrapped, September 7, 2026. Trial design: Mendieta G, et al. Eur J Heart Fail 2026;28:572–82. doi:10.1093/ejhf/xuag153. ARTEMIS: NCT06118281.
  12. Svensson EC, et al. TET2-driven clonal hematopoiesis and response to canakinumab: an exploratory analysis of the CANTOS randomized clinical trial. JAMA Cardiol 2022;7:521–8. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2022.0386. TECTONIC: NCT06691217.
  13. Friedrich MJ, et al. Transient hepatic reconstitution of trophic factors enhances aged immunity. Nature 2026;650:481–9. doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09873-4
  14. Kooshesh KA, Foy BH, Sykes DB, Gustafsson K, Scadden DT. Health consequences of thymus removal in adults. N Engl J Med 2023;389:406–17. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2302892
  15. United Therapeutics. United Therapeutics Corporation acquires Thymmune Therapeutics, July 2, 2026. GEN. ARPA-H's first industry grant sends $37M to Thymmune Therapeutics, October 2, 2023.
  16. Tolerance Bio. Tolerance Bio licenses clinical-stage long-acting interleukin-7 therapy efineptakin alfa from NeoImmuneTech, Business Wire, August 19, 2026.
  17. STAT. Longevity startup NewLimit announces $435 million clinical trial financing, June 2, 2026. NewLimit's T-cell results are company-reported and not peer reviewed.
  18. Mensah GA, et al. Inflammation and cardiovascular disease: 2025 ACC scientific statement. J Am Coll Cardiol 2026;87:1381–404. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2025.08.047
  19. Schuermans A, Honigberg MC. Clonal haematopoiesis in cardiovascular disease: prognostic role and novel therapeutic target. Nat Rev Cardiol 2025;22:845–56. doi:10.1038/s41569-025-01148-9
  20. Lu AT, et al. DNA methylation GrimAge strongly predicts lifespan and healthspan. Aging 2019;11:303–27. doi:10.18632/aging.101684. Belsky DW, et al. DunedinPACE, a DNA methylation biomarker of the pace of aging. eLife 2022;11:e73420. doi:10.7554/eLife.73420. Sayed N, et al. An inflammatory aging clock (iAge) based on deep learning. Nat Aging 2021;1:598–615. doi:10.1038/s43587-021-00082-y. Alpert A, et al. A clinically meaningful metric of immune age (IMM-AGE). Nat Med 2019;25:487–95. doi:10.1038/s41591-019-0381-y. Oh HS-H, et al. Organ aging signatures in the plasma proteome track health and disease. Nature 2023;624:164–72. doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06802-1. Ding DY, et al. Plasma proteomic signatures of cellular aging predict human disease. Nat Med 2026;32:2060–72. doi:10.1038/s41591-026-04446-y. Ahuja SK, et al. Immune resilience despite inflammatory stress promotes longevity and favorable health outcomes. Nat Commun 2023;14:3286. doi:10.1038/s41467-023-38238-6
  21. Herzog CMS, et al. Challenges and recommendations for the translation of biomarkers of aging. Nat Aging 2024;4:1372–83. doi:10.1038/s43587-024-00683-3
  22. Cipriano A, et al. Immune aging biomarkers for clinical trials. Nat Med 2026;32:2368–82. doi:10.1038/s41591-026-04493-5
  23. Allen Institute for Immunology. Human Immune Health Atlas, September 2024. Gong Q, et al. Multi-omic profiling reveals age-related immune dynamics in healthy adults. Nature 2025;648:696–706. doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09686-5